Should You Buy Gold Before It Hits ₹1 Lakh? Experts Reveal the Truth
Gold Hits Record Highs in 2025 — What’s Driving the Rally?
Gold has been on a sensational run in 2025, rising nearly 25% year-to-date (YTD) and reaching all-time highs on both MCX (India) and COMEX (US). This incredible performance is driven by:
-
Rising geopolitical tensions, especially between the US and China
-
Increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold
-
Continued global inflation concerns
-
Significant gold buying by central banks
-
Uncertainty in global trade and economic policy
With global markets shaky and investors seeking stability, gold has once again proven itself as a trusted store of value.
Is Now the Right Time to Buy Gold?
This is the most asked question right now: Should I buy gold at these high levels?
Well, the answer depends on your investment horizon.
What Experts Are Saying
Bullish View – Buy on Dips for Long-Term Gains
Navneet Damani, Group Senior VP at Motilal Oswal Financial Services, believes the current gold rally is supported by strong fundamentals:
“In an environment of policy uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical tension, gold remains a beacon of stability. We suggest a ‘buy on dips’ strategy for medium to long-term investors.”
Cautious View – Avoid Overpaying During the Peak
On the other hand, NS Ramaswamy, Head of Commodities at Ventura, suggests holding off for now if you’re looking for short-term returns:
“The current rally seems overextended. Buying now could expose you to corrections. Ideal entry levels would be around $3,150 to $3,080 per ounce. For short-term buyers, it’s better to wait for price pullbacks.”
Expert Strategy: Dollar Cost Averaging
If you’re unsure about timing the market, Ross Maxwell from VT Markets recommends a safer and more flexible approach:
“If you’re investing for long-term wealth preservation, consider Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) — buying small quantities over time. This spreads your risk and reduces the impact of short-term volatility.”
Why DCA Makes Sense Now:
-
Smooths out your purchase cost
-
Helps you avoid buying everything at peak
-
Allows you to benefit if prices dip or continue rising
What Could Cause a Correction?
While gold’s long-term outlook remains strong, some near-term risks could cause price corrections:
-
Profit-booking by investors who bought at lower prices
-
US Fed interest rate decisions (especially if rate cuts are delayed or priced in)
-
Sudden cooling of geopolitical tensions
-
Unexpected economic stability or recovery in risk assets
All of these could take some pressure off gold and lead to temporary price dips.
Gold Price Outlook: What’s Next?
Short-Term Outlook (Next 3 Months)
-
Volatile, with potential pullbacks and profit booking
-
Ideal for tactical buying on dips, especially near support levels like $3,150
-
May not be the best time to go “all in”
Medium to Long-Term Outlook (6-12 Months+)
-
Experts remain positive on gold’s growth potential
-
Forecasted levels: $3,450 to $3,550
-
Safe-haven demand, central bank buying, and inflation are likely to support prices
Should You Buy Gold Now?
Buy If:
-
You’re investing for long-term wealth or hedging against inflation
-
You’re okay with price fluctuations
-
You plan to invest gradually (DCA method)
Wait If:
-
You’re looking for quick short-term profits
-
You believe prices will correct soon
-
You prefer buying after a dip
Pro Tips Before You Buy Gold
-
Track prices on trusted platforms like MCX (India) or COMEX (US)
-
Diversify your portfolio – don’t go all in on gold
-
Consider digital gold, gold ETFs, or sovereign gold bonds if you want convenience and safety
-
If buying physical gold, ensure it’s hallmarked and certified
